The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
MT-01 (Leans Republican)
Crosstab rates Montana's 2nd District Safe Republican: Democrats have a 0% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 19.8 points.
Troy Downing (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.