| District | Incumbent | Crosstab rating | Dem. chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| MT-01 | Ryan Zinke (R) | Leans Republican | 35% |
| MT-02 | Troy Downing (R) | Safe Republican | 0% |
| Quantus Insights | New | 32 polls | leans R+3 |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners | New | 10 polls | leans D+3.3 |
| Montana State University Billings | New | 1 poll | |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | New | 1 poll |
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index.
Alme leads by 13.1 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls (Alme vs. Bodnar, updated Nov 11, 2026).
Updated Nov 11, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds