The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
MO-02 (Leans Democratic) · MO-03 (Safe Republican) · MO-04 (Safe Republican) · MO-05 (Safe Democratic) · MO-06 (Safe Republican) · MO-07 (Safe Republican) · MO-08 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Missouri's 1st District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 67.2 points.
Wesley Bell (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.