Trust Score 63/100, rank #24 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 48% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #8–47). Consistent D tilt · Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 67th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 71th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±2.7 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 5/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 3.9 | D+3.9 |
| 2000 | 4 | 3 | R+3 |
| 2002 | 1 | 4.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2004 | 4 | 2.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2006 | 1 | 7.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2.2 | R+1.3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 5.5 | even |
| 2016 | 3 | 4.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | R+0.5 |
| 2020 | 3 | 4.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2022 | 1 | 3.6 | D+3.6 |
1 poll this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 | Florida Governor | Jolly 46, Donalds 45 | D+5.9 |
States polled: Florida.
Open Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies is rated B+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 63 of 100, rank 24 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 3.1 points on average, against 3.7 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 58% of races.
Historically, Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies's misses leaned D+1.5 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
1 poll in Crosstab's data, including Florida Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.