The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
UT-01 (Safe Democratic) · UT-02 (Safe Republican) · UT-03 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Utah's 4th District Safe Republican: Democrats have a 0% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 22.8 points.
Burgess Owens (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.