The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
UT-02 (Safe Republican) · UT-03 (Safe Republican) · UT-04 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Utah's 1st District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 34.2 points.
Blake Moore (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.