The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
TN-01 (Safe Republican) · TN-02 (Safe Republican) · TN-03 (Safe Republican) · TN-04 (Safe Republican) · TN-06 (Safe Republican) · TN-07 (Safe Republican) · TN-08 (Likely Republican) · TN-09 (Likely Republican)
Crosstab rates Tennessee's 5th District Safe Republican: Democrats have a 3% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 12.8 points.
Andy Ogles (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.