The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
OK-01 (Safe Republican) · OK-02 (Safe Republican) · OK-03 (Safe Republican) · OK-04 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Oklahoma's 5th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 13% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 7.8 points.
Stephanie Bice (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.