The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
MD-01 (Likely Republican) · MD-02 (Safe Democratic) · MD-03 (Safe Democratic) · MD-05 (Safe Democratic) · MD-06 (Safe Democratic) · MD-07 (Safe Democratic) · MD-08 (Safe Democratic)
Crosstab rates Maryland's 4th District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 84.2 points.
Glenn Ivey (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.