The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
IN-01 (Likely Democratic) · IN-02 (Safe Republican) · IN-03 (Safe Republican) · IN-04 (Safe Republican) · IN-06 (Safe Republican) · IN-07 (Safe Democratic) · IN-08 (Safe Republican) · IN-09 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Indiana's 5th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 16% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 6.8 points.
Victoria Spartz (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.