The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
IN-02 (Safe Republican) · IN-03 (Safe Republican) · IN-04 (Safe Republican) · IN-05 (Likely Republican) · IN-06 (Safe Republican) · IN-07 (Safe Democratic) · IN-08 (Safe Republican) · IN-09 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Indiana's 1st District Likely Democratic: Democrats have a 93% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 10.2 points.
Frank Mrvan (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.