The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
FL-01 (Safe Republican) · FL-02 (Likely Republican) · FL-03 (Likely Republican) · FL-04 (Leans Republican) · FL-06 (Safe Republican) · FL-07 (Leans Republican) · FL-08 (Likely Republican) · FL-09 (Likely Republican) · FL-10 (Safe Democratic) · FL-11 (Likely Republican) · FL-12 (Leans Republican) · FL-13 (Leans Republican) · FL-14 (Toss-up) · FL-15 (Likely Republican) · FL-16 (Leans Republican) · FL-17 (Safe Republican) · FL-18 (Likely Republican) · FL-19 (Safe Republican) · FL-20 (Safe Democratic) · FL-21 (Likely Republican) · FL-22 (Toss-up) · FL-23 (Safe Democratic) · FL-24 (Safe Democratic) · FL-25 (Toss-up) · FL-26 (Likely Republican) · FL-27 (Leans Republican) · FL-28 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Florida's 5th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 7% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 10.8 points.
John Rutherford (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.