Iowa Senate Rating Drops to Toss-Up as Lead Narrows

Crosstab moved Iowa Senate from Leans Dem to Toss-Up after Turek's average lead shrank to 1.1 points, with top-rated pollsters split on who's ahead.

Iowa Senate: the Crosstab average is Turek (D) 46.6%, Hinson (R) 45.5%: Turek +1.1.

A week ago the average was Turek +2.1; 30 days ago, Turek +0.3.

The race on Crosstab ›

From Crosstab Daily for Friday, October 9, 2026: every number checked against Crosstab's polling data before publication.