Angela Paxton is trailing Talarico by 2.7 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Paxton a 36% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceAngela Suzanne Paxton is an American politician from the state of Texas. A member of the Republican Party, she has represented District 8 in the Texas Senate since 2019.
Education: University of Houston–Clear Lake, Baylor University
Will help complete the border wall and deport criminal illegal aliens.
“Ken Paxton will carry that fight to Washington, where he will help President Trump deport the criminal illegal aliens Joe Biden invited into the country, secure the border, and complete the construction of the border wall.” Source
Will increase transparency in food and healthcare systems, taking on Big Pharma and Big Food.
“In the Senate, he will work alongside President Trump to Make America Healthy Again by taking on Big Pharma and Big Food, increasing transparency in our food and healthcare systems, promoting healthier outcomes for Texas families, and putting the well-being of the Americans people ahead of corporate profits.” Source
Will protect gun rights, oppose abortion, and oppose transgender participation in girls' sports.
“He will stand with President Trump to protect our gun rights, defend the unborn, and defeat the radical transgender movement that’s desperate to put men in girls’ sports and woke indoctrination in our classrooms.” Source
Will pursue an America First foreign policy prioritizing US interests and safety.
“Alongside President Trump, he will work to advance an America First foreign policy that promotes peace through strength, prioritizes our nation’s interests first and foremost, and ensures the safety of American citizens.” Source
Will cut taxes and stop wasteful spending to address national debt.
“Ken Paxton is a strong fiscal conservative who will fight to cut taxes and stop the wasteful spending that has led to our nation being in over $36 trillion dollars in debt.” Source
Supports pro-growth crypto regulation and passing the CLARITY Act.
“Achieving that requires a clear, pro-growth regulatory framework, and passing critical legislation like the CLARITY Act is key to giving innovators certainty to build and scale.” Source
In the candidate's own words, from their campaign site; every quote checked word for word.
Angela Paxton is trailing Talarico by 2.7 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Texas Senate race, at 45.8% (updated Oct 5, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives Angela Paxton a 36% chance of winning the Texas Senate race.
Angela Paxton is a Republican.
Updated Oct 5, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds