Adam Hamilton is leading Marshall by 4.6 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Hamilton a 74% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceAdam Joseph Hamilton is an American politician and Methodist minister who is a United States senator-elect from Kansas. A member of the Democratic Party, he is senior pastor of the United Methodist Church of the Resurrection, the largest United Methodist congregation in the United States, based in the Greater Kansas City area.
Education: Oral Roberts University, Perkins School of Theology
Adam Hamilton is leading Marshall by 4.6 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Kansas Senate race, at 49.2% (updated Nov 11, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives Adam Hamilton a 74% chance of winning the Kansas Senate race.
Adam Hamilton is a Democrat.
Updated Nov 11, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds