The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
Crosstab rates South Dakota's At-Large District Safe Republican: Democrats have a 0% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 18.8 points.
Dusty Johnson (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.