The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
SC-02 (Leans Republican) · SC-03 (Safe Republican) · SC-04 (Safe Republican) · SC-05 (Safe Republican) · SC-06 (Safe Democratic) · SC-07 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates South Carolina's 1st District Leans Republican: Democrats have a 34% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 2.8 points.
Nancy Mace (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.