The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
NV-01 (Safe Democratic) · NV-02 (Leans Republican) · NV-03 (Likely Democratic)
Crosstab rates Nevada's 4th District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 96% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 12.2 points.
Steven Horsford (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.