2026 House · Hawaii

Hawaii's 2nd District: 2026 House race

Crosstab rating
Safe Democratic
Chance Democrats win
100%
Projected margin
D+32.2
Incumbent
Jill Tokuda
Democrat

The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.

Other Hawaii districts

HI-01 (Safe Democratic)

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in Hawaii's 2nd District in 2026?

Crosstab rates Hawaii's 2nd District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 32.2 points.

Who represents Hawaii's 2nd District?

Jill Tokuda (Democrat) is the incumbent.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.