The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
GA-02 (Safe Democratic) · GA-03 (Safe Republican) · GA-04 (Safe Democratic) · GA-05 (Safe Democratic) · GA-06 (Safe Democratic) · GA-07 (Safe Republican) · GA-08 (Safe Republican) · GA-09 (Safe Republican) · GA-10 (Likely Republican) · GA-11 (Safe Republican) · GA-12 (Leans Republican) · GA-13 (Safe Democratic) · GA-14 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Georgia's 1st District Leans Republican: Democrats have a 20% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 5.8 points.
Buddy Carter (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.