The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
CT-01 (Safe Democratic) · CT-02 (Safe Democratic) · CT-03 (Safe Democratic) · CT-04 (Safe Democratic)
Crosstab rates Connecticut's 5th District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 99% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 16.2 points.
Jahana Hayes (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.