The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
CO-01 (Safe Democratic) · CO-02 (Safe Democratic) · CO-03 (Toss-up) · CO-05 (Toss-up) · CO-06 (Safe Democratic) · CO-07 (Safe Democratic) · CO-08 (Likely Democratic)
Crosstab rates Colorado's 4th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 13% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 7.8 points.
Lauren Boebert (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.