The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
AR-01 (Safe Republican) · AR-03 (Safe Republican) · AR-04 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Arkansas's 2nd District Leans Republican: Democrats have a 21% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 5.8 points.
French Hill (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.