Tennessee · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Tennessee Governor: Blackburn vs. Green

Blackburn leads by 12.4 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid GOP.

Blackburn45.1%
Green32.7%
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Polling average over time

314253 48.0% 34.0% Jul 19, 2026Oct 16, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateBlackburnGreen
Spry StrategiesOct 16, 20264432
TargetSmartSep 12, 20264536
Beacon CenterSep 3, 20265534
Targoz Market ResearchAug 26, 20264633
Quantus InsightsAug 7, 20254928

The candidates

Marsha Blackburn

Mary Marsha Blackburn is an American politician and businesswoman who is the governor-elect of Tennessee and the state's senior United States senator, a seat she has held since 2019. A member of the Republican Party, Blackburn was a state senator from 1999 to 2003 and represented…

Mark Green

Mark Edward Green is an American politician, physician, and retired U.S. Army surgeon who served as the U.S. representative for Tennessee's 7th congressional district from 2019 until his resignation in 2025. A member of the Republican Party, Green chaired the Committee on Homelan…

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on Tennessee

All Tennessee 2026 races · Marsha Blackburn · Mark Green · Every governor race

Questions people ask

Who is winning the Tennessee governor's race?

Blackburn leads by 12.4 points in the Crosstab average of 3 recent polls (Blackburn vs. Green).

When is the Tennessee governor's election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for Tennessee governor in 2026?

Blackburn, Green.