2026 United States Senate special election in Florida is trailing Moody by 5.7 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Florida a 22% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceThe 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Republican appointee Ashley Moody and Democratic state representative Angie Nixon are the nominees for their respective parties. The winner will complete the term won in 2022 by Marco Rubio, who resigned in 2025 to become secretary of state.
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida is trailing Moody by 5.7 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Florida Senate race, at 42.9% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida a 22% chance of winning the Florida Senate race.
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida is a candidate.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds