2026 United States Senate election in Texas

2026 United States Senate election in Texas is trailing Talarico by 2.5 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Texas a 37% chance to win.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican state attorney general Ken Paxton and Democratic state representative James Talarico are the nominees for their respective parties.

Trump Agenda

Champion Trump's priorities including tax cuts, border security, deportations, and ending government weaponization

“In Washington, Ken Paxton will champion President Trump’s legislative priorities, including cutting taxes, securing the border and deporting illegal aliens, ending the weaponization of government, and draining the Swamp.” Source

Big Pharma/Food

Take on Big Pharma and Big Food to increase transparency and promote healthier outcomes for families

“In the Senate, he will work alongside President Trump to Make America Healthy Again by taking on Big Pharma and Big Food, increasing transparency in our food and healthcare systems, promoting healthier outcomes for Texas families, and putting the well-being of the Americans people ahead of corporate profits.” Source

Border Security

Help complete the border wall, deport criminal illegal aliens, and secure the border

“Ken Paxton will carry that fight to Washington, where he will help President Trump deport the criminal illegal aliens Joe Biden invited into the country, secure the border, and complete the construction of the border wall.” Source

Conservative Values

Protect gun rights, defend the unborn, and oppose transgender policies in sports and schools

“He will stand with President Trump to protect our gun rights, defend the unborn, and defeat the radical transgender movement that’s desperate to put men in girls’ sports and woke indoctrination in our classrooms.” Source

Fiscal Policy

Cut taxes, stop wasteful spending, lower costs, and remove regulations hurting energy companies

“Ken Paxton is a strong fiscal conservative who will fight to cut taxes and stop the wasteful spending that has led to our nation being in over $36 trillion dollars in debt.” Source

Crypto Regulation

Support pro-growth crypto regulatory framework and passage of the CLARITY Act

“Achieving that requires a clear, pro-growth regulatory framework, and passing critical legislation like the CLARITY Act is key to giving innovators certainty to build and scale.” Source

In the candidate's own words, from their campaign site; every quote checked word for word.

Is 2026 United States Senate election in Texas leading in the polls?

2026 United States Senate election in Texas is trailing Talarico by 2.5 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Texas Senate race, at 45.1% (updated Sep 28, 2026).

What are 2026 United States Senate election in Texas's chances of winning?

Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in Texas a 37% chance of winning the Texas Senate race.

What party is 2026 United States Senate election in Texas?

2026 United States Senate election in Texas is a Republican.