2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina is trailing Cooper by 9.0 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Carolina a 7% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceThe 2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina. Republican former party chair Michael Whatley and Democratic former governor Roy Cooper are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Thom Tillis is not seeking a third term.
2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina is trailing Cooper by 9.0 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 North Carolina Senate race, at 41.0% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina a 7% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate race.
2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina is a Republican.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds