Democrat · Minnesota Senate · 2026
2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota

2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota

2026 Minnesota Senate · Crosstab average
42.0%

2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Tafoya. Crosstab's forecast gives Minnesota a 50% chance to win.

See every poll in this race

About 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota

The 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Democratic lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican former journalist Michele Tafoya are the nominees for their respective parties. Democratic incumbent Tina Smith is not seeking a second full term.

Where Minnesota stands

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and banning insurance prior authorization while expanding Medicaid/Medicare coverage

“Peggy believes healthcare is a human right and will fight for Medicare for All, ensuring providers, clinics, and hospitals have the resources to give people the care they deserve.” Source

Minimum wage

Supports a $17 federal minimum wage tied to inflation

“Peggy co-chaired the Raise the Wage campaign in Minnesota and supports a $17 federal minimum wage tied to inflation to keep up with the increased costs of food, housing, and everyday essentials.” Source

Reproductive rights

Supports passing the Women's Health Protection Act to restore Roe v. Wade protections nationwide

“Peggy supports passing the Women’s Health Protection Act to restore the protections of Roe v. Wade, and expand access to abortion for women in every state.” Source

Immigration reform

Wants to dismantle ICE and create a pathway to legal status for undocumented immigrants

“Peggy believes that ICE is out of control and that we must dismantle the agency and reimagine an immigration system rooted in dignity, safety, and due process for all.” Source

Gun control

Wants to ban assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and ghost guns

“Peggy wants to ban assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and ghost guns.” Source

Campaign finance

Supports banning corporate money in elections and stock trading by federal officeholders

“In the Senate, Peggy will fight to ban corporate money in our elections and require disclosure of all donors.” Source

In the candidate's own words, from their campaign site; every quote checked word for word.

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Questions people ask

Is 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota leading in the polls?

2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Tafoya in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Minnesota Senate race, at 42.0% (updated Sep 28, 2026).

What are 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota's chances of winning?

Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota a 50% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate race.

What party is 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota?

2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is a Democrat.

Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds