2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Tafoya. Crosstab's forecast gives Minnesota a 50% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceThe 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Democratic lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican former journalist Michele Tafoya are the nominees for their respective parties. Democratic incumbent Tina Smith is not seeking a second full term.
Supports Medicare for All and banning insurance prior authorization while expanding Medicaid/Medicare coverage
“Peggy believes healthcare is a human right and will fight for Medicare for All, ensuring providers, clinics, and hospitals have the resources to give people the care they deserve.” Source
Supports a $17 federal minimum wage tied to inflation
“Peggy co-chaired the Raise the Wage campaign in Minnesota and supports a $17 federal minimum wage tied to inflation to keep up with the increased costs of food, housing, and everyday essentials.” Source
Supports passing the Women's Health Protection Act to restore Roe v. Wade protections nationwide
“Peggy supports passing the Women’s Health Protection Act to restore the protections of Roe v. Wade, and expand access to abortion for women in every state.” Source
Wants to dismantle ICE and create a pathway to legal status for undocumented immigrants
“Peggy believes that ICE is out of control and that we must dismantle the agency and reimagine an immigration system rooted in dignity, safety, and due process for all.” Source
Wants to ban assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and ghost guns
“Peggy wants to ban assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and ghost guns.” Source
Supports banning corporate money in elections and stock trading by federal officeholders
“In the Senate, Peggy will fight to ban corporate money in our elections and require disclosure of all donors.” Source
In the candidate's own words, from their campaign site; every quote checked word for word.
2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Tafoya in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Minnesota Senate race, at 42.0% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota a 50% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate race.
2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is a Democrat.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds