2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Flanagan. Crosstab's forecast gives Minnesota a 50% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceThe 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Democratic lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican former journalist Michele Tafoya are the nominees for their respective parties. Democratic incumbent Tina Smith is not seeking a second full term.
2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is tied with Flanagan in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Minnesota Senate race, at 42.0% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota a 50% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate race.
2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota is a Republican.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds