Trust Score 53/100, rank #30 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 74% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #21–60). Consistent R tilt.
| Trust Score percentile | 57th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 89th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3.6 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 6 | 11.2 | R+11.2 |
| 2000 | 4 | 4.2 | R+4.2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2004 | 4 | 2.1 | D+0.9 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1.5 | even |
| 2010 | 4 | 1.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1.8 | R+1.8 |
Open University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) is rated B in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 53 of 100, rank 30 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4 points on average, against 5.5 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 93% of races.
Historically, University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)'s misses leaned R+3.2 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.