10 final polls from 2004 to 2022 (average error 6.6 points): too few to grade. Crosstab grades every 2026 pollster on its own results after Election Day.
Open University of Arkansas Department of Political Science in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science has 10 final polls in the 1998–2022 results data, too few to receive a grade (at least 20 graded polls are needed). Its average error was 6.6 points.
Historically, University of Arkansas Department of Political Science's misses leaned D+3.8 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.