Pollster ratings · Crosstab Trust Index

Swayable D

Trust Score 17/100, rank #67 of 72 (low confidence; grade held in 29% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #57–70). Consistent D tilt · Transparency member.

Average error
5.8
points, vs. 4.8 expected for its races
Versus other pollsters, same races
1.1 worse
points
Historical bias
D+5.2
which way its misses leaned
Winners called
93%
68 polls, 2020–2020

How Swayable compares

Trust Score percentile7th (median 49)
Accuracy versus expected6th percentile
Random miss (consistency)±3.7 pts
MethodOnline Ad
Transparency score6/10 · AAPOR/Roper member

Open Swayable in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is Swayable accurate?

Swayable is rated D in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 17 of 100, rank 67 of 72, low confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 5.8 points on average, against 4.8 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 93% of races.

Does Swayable lean Republican or Democratic?

Historically, Swayable's misses leaned D+5.2 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.

Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.