Trust Score 19/100, rank #65 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 76% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #60–68). Consistent R tilt.
| Trust Score percentile | 10th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 42th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.1 pts |
| Method | IVR |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 98 | 5.1 | R+3.4 |
| 2002 | 1 | 7.9 | D+7.9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 2.7 | D+1.5 |
| 2005 | 5 | 4.2 | R+4.2 |
| 2006 | 64 | 3.7 | R+1.5 |
| 2007 | 1 | 2.4 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 95 | 3.7 | R+1.1 |
| 2009 | 5 | 1.5 | D+1.3 |
| 2010 | 117 | 5.9 | R+3 |
| 2012 | 70 | 5.3 | R+4.5 |
Open Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) is rated C- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 19 of 100, rank 65 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.6 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 78% of races.
Historically, Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)'s misses leaned R+2.3 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.