Trust Score 32/100, rank #56 of 72 (low confidence; grade held in 38% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #23–70). Often Republican-sponsored · Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 22th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 42th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±5 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 3/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 2 | 8.1 | R+8.1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 10.6 | R+10.6 |
| 2002 | 9 | 4.3 | D+0.9 |
| 2004 | 6 | 4.3 | R+3.9 |
| 2006 | 10 | 7 | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | 11 | 2.9 | R+1 |
| 2010 | 14 | 5.5 | R+2.1 |
| 2012 | 12 | 4.9 | R+4.3 |
| 2014 | 5 | 4.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 4 | 7.6 | D+7.6 |
| 2018 | 1 | 8.1 | R+8.1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 2.9 | R+2.7 |
| 2022 | 1 | 8.6 | D+8.6 |
Open Public Opinion Strategies in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Public Opinion Strategies is rated C in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 32 of 100, rank 56 of 72, low confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 5.3 points on average, against 5.3 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 65% of races.
Historically, Public Opinion Strategies's misses leaned R+2.2 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.