Trust Score 52/100, rank #32 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 55% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #10–59). Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 56th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 21th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3.7 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 6/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 9.1 | R+9.1 |
| 2000 | 6 | 4.3 | R+3.2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 3.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2004 | 13 | 3.6 | D+0.3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 4.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 4.5 | R+4.5 |
Open Opinion Dynamics in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Opinion Dynamics is rated B in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 52 of 100, rank 32 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 3.9 points on average, against 3.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 74% of races.
Historically, Opinion Dynamics's misses leaned R+0.9 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.