Trust Score 41/100, rank #45 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 57% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #23–60). Consistent D tilt.
| Trust Score percentile | 38th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 39th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±2.7 pts |
| Method | Online Panel |
| Transparency score | 7/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 9 | 2.4 | D+2.4 |
| 2018 | 4 | 3.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 54 | 4.8 | D+4.6 |
| 2022 | 7 | 5.5 | D+5.5 |
13 polls this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 | Trump approval | Approve 41, Disapprove 56 | |
| 09-21 | Generic ballot | Democrats 50, Republicans 43 | |
| 09-14 | Trump approval | Approve 42, Disapprove 56 | |
| 09-14 | Generic ballot | Democrats 49, Republicans 43 | |
| 09-08 | Trump approval | Approve 42, Disapprove 55 | |
| 09-08 | Generic ballot | Democrats 46, Republicans 42 | |
| 08-31 | Trump approval | Approve 41, Disapprove 55 | |
| 08-31 | Generic ballot | Democrats 47, Republicans 42 | |
| 08-25 | Trump approval | Approve 43, Disapprove 54 | |
| 08-18 | Generic ballot | Democrats 46, Republicans 42 | |
| 08-10 | Trump approval | Approve 43, Disapprove 55 | |
| 08-03 | Generic ballot | Democrats 46, Republicans 42 | |
| 07-27 | Generic ballot | Democrats 46, Republicans 43 |
YouGov · Emerson College · University of New Hampshire Survey Center · The New York Times/Siena College · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Rasmussen Reports · Ipsos · InsiderAdvantage
Open Morning Consult in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Morning Consult is rated B- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 41 of 100, rank 45 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.5 points on average, against 4.4 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 71% of races.
Historically, Morning Consult's misses leaned D+4 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
13 polls in Crosstab's data, including Trump approval, Generic ballot.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.