Trust Score 61/100, rank #25 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 46% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #7–57). Consistent D tilt · Often Democratic-sponsored.
| Trust Score percentile | 63th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 64th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.1 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 5/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 10.2 | R+10.2 |
| 2002 | 4 | 7.2 | D+7.2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2.6 | D+2.3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 3.9 | D+3.9 |
| 2012 | 7 | 4.7 | R+0.4 |
| 2014 | 3 | 6.1 | D+4.2 |
| 2020 | 3 | 8.8 | D+8.8 |
| 2022 | 3 | 1.7 | even |
Open Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group is rated B+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 61 of 100, rank 25 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.8 points on average, against 5.2 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 86% of races.
Historically, Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group's misses leaned D+2.4 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.