Trust Score 36/100, rank #53 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 57% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #25–59). Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 26th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 21th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3.9 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 10/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 3 | 5.3 | D+4.6 |
| 2000 | 11 | 5 | R+3.6 |
| 2002 | 9 | 3.2 | R+0.6 |
| 2003 | 1 | 2.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2004 | 22 | 3.8 | even |
| 2006 | 8 | 3.4 | R+1 |
| 2008 | 8 | 3.1 | R+1.4 |
| 2010 | 3 | 6.3 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 4 | 6.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 2.5 | D+2.5 |
Open Gallup in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Gallup is rated C+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 36 of 100, rank 53 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.1 points on average, against 3.8 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 63% of races.
Historically, Gallup's misses leaned R+1.3 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.