Trust Score 61/100, rank #26 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 66% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #10–46). Consistent D tilt.
| Trust Score percentile | 63th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 96th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3.3 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 3 | 4.3 | D+2.2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 9.1 | D+9.1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 4.3 | D+3.5 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 3.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2.5 | D+2.1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 5.6 | R+5.6 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 3 | 3.5 | D+3.5 |
Open Elway Research in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Elway Research is rated B+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 61 of 100, rank 26 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 3.7 points on average, against 5.5 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 90% of races.
Historically, Elway Research's misses leaned D+2.1 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.