Trust Score 73/100, rank #10 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 80% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #2–33). Highly accurate.
| Trust Score percentile | 85th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 99th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.4 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 1 | 5.3 | D+5.3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 1.7 | R+1.1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 3.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 4.2 | D+3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 5 | D+4.3 |
| 2012 | 7 | 6 | even |
| 2014 | 4 | 2.5 | even |
| 2016 | 1 | 10.1 | D+10.1 |
Open Dan Jones & Associates in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Dan Jones & Associates is rated A in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 73 of 100, rank 10 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.4 points on average, against 6.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 97% of races.
Historically, Dan Jones & Associates's misses leaned D+1.8 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.