Pollster ratings · Crosstab Trust Index

Civiqs B

Trust Score 49/100, rank #37 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 52% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #12–60). Consistent D tilt.

Average error
4.7
points, vs. 4.9 expected for its races
Versus other pollsters, same races
0.1 better
points
Historical bias
D+4.1
which way its misses leaned
Winners called
76%
38 polls, 2020–2022

How Civiqs compares

Trust Score percentile49th (median 49)
Accuracy versus expected53th percentile
Random miss (consistency)±3.2 pts
MethodOnline Panel/Online Ad
Transparency score8/10

Average error by election cycle

CyclePollsAvg errorBias
2020214.9D+4.7
2022174.4D+3.3

Open Civiqs in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is Civiqs accurate?

Civiqs is rated B in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 49 of 100, rank 37 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.7 points on average, against 4.9 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 76% of races.

Does Civiqs lean Republican or Democratic?

Historically, Civiqs's misses leaned D+4.1 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.

Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.