Pollster ratings · Crosstab Trust Index

Big Village B-

Trust Score 47/100, rank #40 of 72 (low confidence; grade held in 44% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #10–59).

Average error
4.1
points, vs. 4.6 expected for its races
Versus other pollsters, same races
0.2 better
points
Historical bias
D+0.3
which way its misses leaned
Winners called
73%
77 polls, 2006–2022

How Big Village compares

Trust Score percentile44th (median 49)
Accuracy versus expected65th percentile
Random miss (consistency)±4 pts
MethodLive Phone
Transparency score8/10

Average error by election cycle

CyclePollsAvg errorBias
2006106.4R+0.8
2008222.5even
2010184.2R+1.7
201272R+1.7
201475.6D+5.3
2016104.2D+1.4
202237.5D+7.5

Open Big Village in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is Big Village accurate?

Big Village is rated B- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 47 of 100, rank 40 of 72, low confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.1 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 73% of races.

Does Big Village lean Republican or Democratic?

Historically, Big Village's misses leaned D+0.3 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.

Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.