2026 United States Senate election in Iowa is leading Hinson by 1.7 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Iowa a 59% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceThe 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Iowa. Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson and Democratic state representative Josh Turek are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Joni Ernst is not seeking a third term.
2026 United States Senate election in Iowa is leading Hinson by 1.7 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Iowa Senate race, at 45.4% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa a 59% chance of winning the Iowa Senate race.
2026 United States Senate election in Iowa is a Democrat.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds