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Crosstab Live Midday: Senate Numbers Hold Steady

October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET · 1:48 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Senate control, Trump's approval and the generic ballot and the Kansas Senate race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday.

Daniel Good afternoon, Maya. Not much new ground to cover this hour — no new polls have come in since the last live update.

Maya So where does that leave the Senate math right now, Daniel?

Daniel Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 33 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya Any movement on the map itself?

Daniel None to report. No lead changes anywhere on the board, and we're eight days out from the election.

Maya Let's look at a race we haven't touched today — Kansas.

Daniel Kansas Senate, Marshall versus Hamilton. Republican Marshall leads by just 0.1 points, after 13 polls in that race.

Maya 0.1 points, Daniel — that's a race we're watching, within 1 point with 13 polls already in.

Daniel It really is, Maya — thirteen polls in, and Marshall's lead is still just 0.1 points.

Maya Thirteen polls and just 0.1 points apart, Daniel — a margin worth keeping an eye on.

Maya What about the national numbers, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval sits at 36 percent, disapproval at 59 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya Steady numbers across the board today, Daniel.

Daniel Steady is the word, Maya. We'll keep tracking the data as it comes in.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.