Crosstab Live Midday: North Carolina Moves, Michigan Holds Steady

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. Daniel, we've got a brand new poll out of North Carolina.

Daniel We do, Maya. Quantus Insights has Cooper at 51 percent, Whatley at 43 — Cooper up 8 points in that single poll.

Maya And the broader average there?

Daniel Our crosstab average now has Cooper ahead by 10.5 points in North Carolina.

Maya Let's check Maine next.

Daniel Marist has Jackson at 53, Collins at 47 — Jackson by 6 in that poll. That moves our Maine average to Jackson plus 2.5, up from plus 1.6.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. What's happening in Michigan?

Daniel Two races moved there. In the Senate matchup, El-Sayed's average lead is now 3.2 points, up from 2.5. In the governor's race, Benson's average lead is 8.1, up from 6.6 — that's after a new poll showing Benson at 53.3 percent to James at 40.9.

Maya And Alaska's governor race?

Daniel That one narrowed. Kreiss-Tomkins leads by 7.3 points now, down from 8.8. A new Alaska Survey Research poll has Kreiss-Tomkins at 53.4 percent, Wilson at 46.6.

Maya Last check — where does that leave the fight for the Senate, nationally?

Daniel Democrats now have a 67 percent chance of winning control, up from 66 — most likely landing at 52 seats. Trump's approval sits at 36 percent, disapproval at 59. On the generic ballot: Democrats 52.8, Republicans 45.5.

Daniel Maya, what's one you'll be watching for the next update?

Maya Kansas Senate. Marshall leads Hamilton by just 0.1 points across 13 polls — a race we're watching.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.