Crosstab Live Tonight: Nevada Flips, Ohio Holds

Transcript

Maya Good evening, I'm Maya, and this is Crosstab Live Tonight. We're starting with a lead change in Nevada's governor race.

Daniel That's right, Maya. Ford now leads Lombardo by 1.4 points in our average, after Lombardo led by 0.6 just last update.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. What's the new poll showing that pushed the average there?

Daniel A new RedBox Research poll, out October 23rd, has Ford at 46, Lombardo at 43. That's a 3-point edge, and it's what moved the crosstab average to 1.4.

Maya We've got another new RedBox poll tonight too, out of Ohio's governor race.

Daniel Same pollster, same date. Acton's at 48, Ramaswamy's at 44, a 4-point margin. Our running average there sits at Acton plus 3.6.

Maya So Acton's cushion is a bit wider than Ford's up in Nevada.

Daniel It is. Maya, which one do you think our viewers will keep an eye on tonight?

Maya I'd watch Nevada. A 1.4-point lead with eight days to go is a race we're watching.

Daniel Fair enough, Maya. Let's zoom out to the national picture.

Daniel Senate control stands at a 66 percent chance for Democrats, 34 percent for Republicans, with a most likely outcome of 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And the president's numbers, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 36 percent, disapproval at 59. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya Before we go, Daniel, what's our race to watch tonight?

Daniel Kansas Senate. Republican Marshall leads Democrat Hamilton by just 0.1 points, across 13 polls. It's within 1 point.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Join us again at 8 a.m. Eastern tomorrow.