Crosstab Live Afternoon: Florida Numbers Move

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. We've got a new number out of Florida's Senate race, and it's a 7-point Republican lead.

Daniel RedBox Research has Moody at 50 percent, Nixon at 43 percent. That's a 7-point lead, and it's a fresh read from October 23rd.

Maya Daniel, how does that stack up against the running average in that race?

Daniel The crosstab average now has Moody up 6.5 points. So this new poll lines up with where the race already stood.

Maya And there's more from RedBox today, Daniel - they were also in the field for the Florida Governor's race.

Daniel They were. Donalds at 49 percent, Jolly at 44 percent, a 5-point margin in that one poll.

Maya That's a real number, Daniel. Has the average moved at all there?

Daniel A little. The average margin went from 5.2 points to 4.7 points for Donalds. A half-point shift.

Maya Let's zoom out, Daniel. Where does the Senate picture stand nationally?

Daniel Democrats have a 66 percent chance of winning control, Republicans 34 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And the generic ballot, Daniel - any movement there for us to flag?

Daniel Democrats sit at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5 percent on the generic ballot. Trump's approval is 36 percent, disapproval 59 percent.

Daniel Maya, which of these two Florida races do you think our viewers will be watching closer over the next week?

Maya I'd guess the Senate race, Daniel, since it's the one with the freshest poll today. But let's get to a race we're watching that hasn't come up yet - Kansas Senate.

Daniel Right, Kansas Senate is a race we're watching. Republican Marshall leads Democrat Hamilton by just 0.1 points, based on 13 polls.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.