Crosstab Live Tonight: Senate Odds Hold Steady, Kansas Still Razor-Close

Transcript

Maya Good evening, I'm Maya. Welcome back to Crosstab Live Tonight, our live look at the numbers with nine days to go.

Daniel Thanks, Maya. It's a quiet one at the data wall tonight. No new polls since our last live update, no lead changes anywhere on the board, and nothing new to report across the map.

Maya So every number on that wall is sitting exactly where it was, Daniel?

Daniel Every single one, Maya. Not a point of movement since we last checked in, and no new polls in the mix.

Maya All right, let's start with the big picture, then. Where does Senate control stand right now?

Daniel Democrats have a 65 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 35 percent. The most likely outcome on our model right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real number to sit with, Daniel, nine days out from the election.

Daniel It is, Maya. And the national numbers line up right alongside it.

Maya Let's get into those. Walk us through them, Daniel.

Daniel Trump's approval is 36 percent, disapproval is 59 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead Republicans 52.8 percent to 45.5 percent.

Maya Let's turn now to the race we're watching tonight.

Daniel Kansas Senate. Republican Marshall leads Democrat Hamilton by just 0.1 points, with 13 polls factored into that average. A race we're watching closely tonight.

Maya Just 0.1 points separating them, Daniel.

Daniel What do you make of a margin that small, Maya?

Maya It means every one of those 13 polls carries real weight, Daniel, with nine days left on the clock.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Thanks for watching, and we'll see you next time.