Crosstab Live Afternoon: Maine Ties, Kansas Still a Race to Watch

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. We've got a brand new poll out of Maine, and it's turned that Senate race into a dead heat.

Daniel That's right, Maya. Trafalgar Group is out today with Jackson at 47 percent and Collins at 47 percent. Forty-seven to forty-seven, flat even, no movement either way.

Maya Daniel, how does that compare to the broader crosstab average for that race right now?

Daniel The crosstab average still shows Jackson a little ahead, by 1.6 points. So this single new poll sits close to that average, it just happens to land exactly even.

Maya A race we're watching for sure, Daniel. Nine days until voters decide, and it is still this close in Maine.

Daniel Speaking of close, Maya, want to take a guess at how slim the margin is over in Kansas right now?

Maya I'll guess... under a point?

Daniel Spot on, Maya. Marshall is holding just a 0.1 point edge over Hamilton there, and that is after 13 separate polls in that race.

Maya Thirteen polls, and it is still a race we are watching closely. Let's zoom out for a second, Daniel. What does the national picture look like for Senate control?

Daniel Right now Democrats have a 65 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 35 percent. The single most likely outcome on our model is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real split, Daniel, worth sitting with for a second. And where do approval numbers and the generic ballot stand for us today?

Daniel Trump's approval sits at 36 percent, with disapproval at 59 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 52.8 percent nationally, Republicans at 45.5 percent.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.