Crosstab Live Midday: Kansas Senate and the National Picture

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. No new polls landed since our last update, but there's one race we haven't shown you yet, and it's close.

Daniel Good afternoon, Maya. Thirteen days now until Election Day, and the overall picture is holding steady across the board today.

Maya Let's get right to it, Daniel. The Kansas Senate race, Republican Marshall against Democrat Hamilton. What's the latest?

Daniel Thirteen polls are in on this one, Maya, and Republican Marshall leads Democrat Hamilton by just 0.1 points. That's a race we're watching.

Maya 0.1 points, across thirteen separate polls. Has the margin moved at all since we last checked in?

Daniel No movement reported since the last update. It's sitting right where it was, 0.1 points.

Maya Let's widen the lens, Daniel. Where does the national Senate math stand right now?

Daniel Democrats have a 65 percent chance of winning control of the Senate. Republicans sit at 35 percent. The most likely outcome on our model is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya 52 seats. That's a clear number on the board today.

Daniel It is. Maya, you know this one well, what's the generic ballot gap sitting at today?

Maya Democrats are at 52.8 percent on the generic ballot, Republicans at 45.5 percent.

Daniel And President Trump's approval number is 36 percent, disapproval 59 percent. Both flat compared to our last update.

Maya So the national numbers are steady today, Daniel, but Kansas Senate stays a race we're watching, just 0.1 points separating Marshall and Hamilton.

Daniel We'll keep tracking it for you, Maya.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.